Another Tuesday, another primary. Popcorn ready?
All the polls say that Mittens will win tonight. I'm not so sure. A win for him means that he breaks that 25% ceiling, in addition to getting the most votes. Think about the math for a minute: only a small percentage of people vote in primaries, most of them not Democrats this year. If Mittens can't get more than 25% of the voters most likely to support him, what does that mean, mathematically, in the general?
Plus, the past two days have not been good for Mittens. The hit from Jon Huntsman in the Sunday morning debate was pretty close to fatal. In case you missed it:
“I was criticized last night by Governor Romney for putting my country first,” Huntsman said in the NBC/Facebook debate from New Hampshire. “He criticized me while he was out raising money for serving my country in China, yes, under a Democrat, like my two sons are doing in the United States Navy. They’re not asking who — what political affiliation the president is. I want to be very clear with the people here in New Hampshire and this country: I will always put my country first. And I think that’s important to them.” [...]
“I think we serve our country first by standing for people who believe in conservative principles and doing everything in our power to promote an agenda that does not include President Obama’s agenda,” Romney said. “I think the decision to go and work for President Obama is one which you took. I don’t disrespect your decision to do that. I just think it’s most likely that the person who should represent our party running against President Obama is not someone who called him a remarkable leader and went to be his ambassador in China.”
“This nation is divided… because of attitudes like that,” Huntsman said. “The American people are tired of the partisan division. They have had enough. There is no trust left among the American people and the institutions of power and among the American people and our elected officials. And I say, we’ve had enough, and we have to change our direction in terms of coming together as Americans first and foremost and finding solutions to our problems.”
It's in certain ways even worse then Mittens liking firing people. Here's a Republican saying that standing up for "conservative principles" (whatever they actually are) is more important than serving one's government when called. For everyone of us who was ever drafted, or asked to serve in some other capacity, you serve. What does it say when someone says that it's more important to spend your time doing something else? Wait, I remember, it's like the teabaggers in Congress who almost let us default because some principle they don't really believe in seemed to matter more. How dishonourable. Mittens never served in the military. Why? He was born in 1947, putting him at draft age in 1965. He had a deferment for being a "Mormon minister of faith." Really. He also had an academic deferment, and finally drew a high draft number in 1970. But for those who are already hinky about his religion (bigots all) this won't sit well, and I'm probably not the only one who knows that he not only puts "conservative principles" above serving the United States of America, but also places serving the Mormon faith before serving the United States.
Could Mitt lose? Absolutely - remember that in 2008, the polls were off by 8 - 10%, enough to give the win to Hillary Clinton. Albeit, the Republican polls correctly predicted John-Boy McCain's win. Here are all the polls available, look at them and think about what happens if they're off by 10 points.
More, and two DCW polls, after the jump.