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GOP Delegate Count

by: Matt

Wed Feb 29, 2012 at 20:21:14 PM EST


Here are the results so far that we are using for the GOP delegate count. First, we show the pledged delegates that have been chosen. We add the superdelegates to get the total GOP delegate count in the left sidebar. (Top table). This count does not include projections of delegate counts from the caucus states. Those numbers are included in the lower table in the sidebar. A complete spreadsheet can be found here.

Updated 3/29 (See spreadsheet for updates as of 4/4)

Click on the column title to sort by that column

Pledged Gingrich Unbound Paul Romney Santorum Uncommitted
AL 14 0 0
11 22
   
AK 3 0 6 8 7    
AS 0
0 0
6
0
   
AZ 0 0 0 29 0    
FL 0 0 0 50 0    
GA 53 0 0 20 3    
GU 0
0 0 6 0
   
HI
0
0 3
9
5
   
ID 0 0 0 32 0    
IL
0
0 0
41
10
   
KS
0 0 0 7 33
   
LA
0
0 0
5
10
10
 
MA 0 0 0 38 0    
MI 0 0 0 16 14    
MS
12 0 0 12 13
   
NMI
0 0 0 6 0
   
NV 6 0 5 14 3    
NH 0 1
3 8
0    
OH
0
0 0 38 21
   
OK 13 0 0 13 14    
PR
0 0 0 20 0    
SC 23 0 0 2 0    
TN 9
0 0 17 29    
VT 0 0 4 9 4    
USVI
0
0 1
4
0
 1  
VA 0 0 3

43

0    
WY 0 0 1 4 0 1  

Total 132 2
26 471 191      12
Super
delegates
2
0 1
32 2
   
Total
134 2
27 503
193 12
 

Matt :: GOP Delegate Count

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GOP Delegate Count | 18 comments
they dont add up! do you add these to the supers to get your actual total? (0.00 / 0)
obviously, they have almost no connection to the projections

?? (0.00 / 0)
Romney/Gingrich/Santorum/Huntsman all add up.  Only Paul's don't add up.

[ Parent ]
Paul's numbers were wrong (0.00 / 0)
His Nevada # was wrong. Fixed. Thanks for catching this.

[ Parent ]
well (0.00 / 0)
partially fixed anyway. ;)

[ Parent ]
and now totally fixed......I hope (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
yes (0.00 / 0)
I added some explanatory text to make that clear.

[ Parent ]
thanks, (0.00 / 0)
but you know it is numbers, so i take nothing for granted:)

Updated to show pledged + supers (0.00 / 0)


did anyone else see this Friday? (0.00 / 0)
Ron Paul claims that his supporters are going to hijack caucus delegates. Should you add more delegate counts according to each candidates delusions  




P.S. (It's Sunday where are the Senators? According to the Senate forecast I don't think we should let the Republican circus suck all the oxygen out of the room.)


Perhaps neither delusion nor hijacking. (0.00 / 0)

Unlike the Democratic Party which does use the initial support (actually the modified initial support after people move from non-viable candidates to viable candidates, the Republicans say that the straw poll is not binding in terms of delegate selection.

In both parties, delegate selection takes place a little bit late in the process. Under the Republican rules in most of the caucus states (Nevada being the only exception so far), those who stick around for the later part of the evening when delegates are actually selected get to allocate delegates however they see fit.  If that means that the Paul folks (while small in number) have the tenacity to stick around and get more delegates than their initial support merits, they are playing strictly by the rules.

That is why Matt keeps two separate totals -- the pledged count which ignores states that do not award delegates based on the initial vote and the projected count which follows the general media mis-assumption that the delegates from these states will ultimately be proportional to the initial vote -- despite the state rules to the contrary.



[ Parent ]
theoretically possible yes, but (0.00 / 0)

I doubt the Republican party would let it happen in the end, they tend to be too controlling.

It would be great if in the end Ron Paul manages to poach the bulk of caucus delegates, Spawn of Satan becomes the last standing "Not Mitt" now that Newt lost his Billionaire, and that conservatives have chosen Spawn of Satan as their "Guy".

Then S.O.S. wins enough in the South and combined with whatever Ron Paul manages to poach it keeps Mittens from reaching 1144 and it becomes necessary for that Wisconsin Weasel Priebus is forced to either let more Chaos pursue or force delegates to vote for Mittens or whatever other authoritarian antics they can pull to show their true colors.


[ Parent ]
Joe Giannasio (0.00 / 0)
I'm behind on Sunday with the Senators -- my plan WAS to start with Massachusetts and explain how Elizabeth Warren will sweep the Democratic primary, make mincemeat of Scott Brown, move on to Ohio and show Sherrod Brown's numbers, which are terrific, sadly remark on how Bob Kerrey isn't running, and we hadn't had Nebraska (really) in a while, and then go on from there.

But I'm REALLY BEHIND...but I promise to catch up.

While it looks "bad" in the end I think we'll hold the Senate.


[ Parent ]
any word on the house? (0.00 / 0)
how much does obama need to improve his numbers to retake the house? is it possible? what if rick is top of the ticket? not that i can believe that will happen....

[ Parent ]
Upland Poet (0.00 / 0)
I've only looked at a few dozen races, mostly in Florida, Massachusetts, Ohio and California. A lot seems to depend on the GOP primaries in a lot of places. I promise to put it on the list of things I need to get done.

My gut says that while we have about a 10% chance of reclaiming the House, we will AT LEAST make it close enough to even to make things still harder on whoever the majority leader is (and if the Republicans hold the House, it won't be Boehner.) Plus, the losing Republicans will be teabaggers, which will give cover to the more moderate members on the right.  


[ Parent ]
thanks, hope you are right, (0.00 / 0)
by the way, my new job means i will probably have some free afternoons if there are investigations i can make that would help...

[ Parent ]
YES! THANK YOU! (0.00 / 0)
I will send you a FB message with details....THANK YOU!!  

[ Parent ]
Google docs spreadsheet now available (0.00 / 0)
Link in the post

GOP Delegate Count | 18 comments


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