Monthly Archives: September 2015

Lee Wack Jr named as #DNC2016 Press Secretary

The Democratic National Convention Committee today named Lee Whack as Press Secretary for the 2016 Democratic National Convention.  Lee joins the Convention team from the U.S. House of Representatives where he served as Communications Director for Representative Jan Schakowsky (D-IL).

 “We are very pleased that Lee is joining the Convention team,” said Convention CEO Leah D. Daughtry.  “I am confident his background and experience will help us achieve our goal of being the most engaging, inclusive and forward-looking convention in history.”

 Prior to his work for Rep. Schakowsky, Lee was public relations manager for the DC Housing Finance Agency.  Before that, he was a communications staffer for several Democrats in the Illinois State Senate. He also managed press for the National Public Housing Museum and the 2010 Illinois State Treasurer’s race.  Previously, he was a local news reporter for the Chicago Tribune. Born in Pittsburgh and raised in the Chicago area, he is a graduate of Morehouse College with a Master’s in Journalism from Northwestern University.

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Supreme Court Term 2015-16:Part Two

When the Supreme Court meets on Monday in what is commonly referred to as the “long conference” (because it covers three months worth of petitions that have piled up during the summer), it will begin the process of filling the second half of its argument schedule — cases that will be decided by the end of June.  As with the cases already set for argument this fall, there will be a mix of criminal cases, routine matters of statutory interpretation, and the politically explosive.  While the criminal cases and the statutory cases are important to practitioners and businesses, it is the politically explosive cases that I will focus on for this blog.

In recent years, the Supreme Court has changed how it grants cases.  In the past, the Supreme Court tended to accept or reject a case immediately (at its initial conference).  However, after several cases had hidden problems (preliminary issues that had to be addressed before the Supreme Court could reach the issue presented in the petition), the Supreme Court has tended to “relist” (postpone consideration to a later conference) the cases that it is seriously considering granting to take a closer look for such potential problems.  In addition, even putting aside the large number of petitions with little or no chance of being granted, there are more cases that raise significant issues than the Supreme Court is inclined to take.

In the current conference, one potentially interesting case involves a criminal prosecution from Puerto Rico.  Generally, federal law recognizes a “dual sovereign” exception to the rule against double jeopardy (that you can’t be tried twice for the same offense).  Thus, for the same course of conduct, a person can be charged by multiple states or by a state and the federal government.  The issue in this case is whether Puerto Rico is a separate sovereign from the federal government.  While legally, this case is probably not a close issue, the impact of the Supreme Court explaining Puerto Rico’s current status (essentially a territory of the U.S. with any home rule being by grace of Congress) could crystalize the debate over Puerto Rico’s status. Continue Reading...

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Boehner to resign in October

House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio), faced with a constant conservative rebellion, told Republicans Friday morning that he will resign at the end of October, according to aides and lawmakers in a closed-door meeting.

The resignation will end a nearly five-year reign as speaker, allowing House Republicans to approve a short-term government funding bill that will avert a shutdown of federal agencies. Boehner’s hold on the speaker’s gavel had grown increasingly unsteady amid threats from more than 30 Republicans that they would force a no-confidence vote in his speaker’s position, which would have forced him to rely on Democratic votes in order to remain in charge. Several GOP members told The Washington Post that Boehner would step down from Congress in late October. – Washington Post

Should be interesting to see if Boehner was the glue holding the Republican party together.

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Supreme Court Term 2015-16: Part One

As summer turns to fall, the new Supreme Court term is just two weeks away.  While (with one notable exception), the Supreme Court rarely decides elections, Supreme Court decisions can alter the rules for elections and often become an issue in the campaign.  Before leaving at the end of June, the Supreme Court had already accepted a significant number of cases for this term.  Normally, they accept enough cases to fill the fall (October, November, and December) argument sessions with a handful left over for January.  This time (while they have not yet officially published the December argument list), there are more argument slots available than cases.  This post will focus on the cases already accepted.  These cases will be heard between now and mid-December,  with most of them likely to be decided around the time that the major presidential primaries are taking place.  The next post will look at cases that might be accepted for the spring arguments.

October is looking very much like criminal procedure month (with two days set aside for death penalty cases and a juvenile homicide case).  On other cases, there is an interesting case from  my neck of the woods (Hawkins v. Community Bank of Raymore) involving the Equal Credit Opportunity Act.  Among the provisions of the Act, the Act forbids banks from discriminating based on marital status.  In this case, the bank (as a condition of a loan to a small business) required the owners’ wives to personally guarantee the loans.  When the business could not repay the loan, the bank sued the wives who in turn claim that requiring them to guarantee the loan was discrimination based on marital status.

Another potentially interesting case from October (Campbell-Ewald Company v. Gomes) involves class-actions.  In a class-action, one individual seeks to purse claims on behalf of a group of individuals who have similar claims.  Part of the process requires the trial court to hold a hearing to determine whether the individual is sufficiently similar to the other members of the group (among other factors) in order to determine whether to allow the case to proceed as a class-action.  In this case, the defendant offered to pay the plaintiff’s claim in full before the hearing.  The primary issue is whether, under those circumstances, the class-action can proceed or does the settlement offer effectively eliminate the plaintiff. Continue Reading...

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Polling round-up, 16-30.09.2015

The polling for the second half of September, 2015 is already well underway and some data has already come in. Below, after the break, are the links. As usual, those blog threads of mine are going to fill up pretty quickly. There have already been three important senatorial polls worth a look and one set of presidential matchups that show a shift back toward Clinton (D).

D-nomination (national and state), 16-30.09.2015

R-nomination (national and state), 16-30.09.2015 Continue Reading...

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Polling round-up, 01-15.09.2015

So, the polling books have been closed on the first half of September, by category, and for your perusal. There were some very interesting polls, also in states rarely, if ever, polled, like Utah, Alabama and California.

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Sign Up for Paid and Volunteer Jobs for #DNC2016 in #Philly

phldncThe Democratic National Convention Host Committee is working hard to prepare the city for the convention next July.
You can now sign up to be employed by the Host Committee or volunteer for the convention.
Job Applications can be entered here.
Volunteers can be entered here.

Vendors are also able to submit RFP’s here.
Organizations can sign up for presentations here.

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Poll: Who won last night’s GOP Debate

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A Look Abroad — Upcoming Elections

From time to time, I like to take a look at upcoming elections in our allies.  As the recent market fluctuations in response to problem with the Chinese economy show, the U.S. is not immune to feeling the effects of problems in the rest of the word.  Between now and November, there will be elections in Greece, Canada, Portugal, and Turkey.  For now, I want to focus on Greece, Canada, and Turkey.

Greece will hold its second election of 2015 next Sunday, September 20.  This election was almost inevitable after the results of the January election.  The Greek economy has been on shaky ground since the 2008 global recession, and Greece has needed multiple bailouts from its economic partners to avoid defaulting on its loans.  In January 2015, the Greeks voted for a new party (Syrizia) that opposed the concessions made in past bailout deals and promised to be a tough negotiator in the next round.  The problem was that Greece needed a new bailout more than its partners needed to keep Greece afloat.  So the government eventually had to accept a worse deal than its supporters wanted.  Several members of the governing party voted against the deal, costing the government its majority and leading to this second election.

Greece uses a proportional representation system to elect 250 members of parliament.  To reduce the likelihood (endemic to proportional representative systems) of an inconclusive result in which tiny parties hold the balance of power, Greece gives the party that finishes first an additional 50 seats.  As a result, it only takes around 35-40% of the vote  rather than 48-50% to get a majority of the seats.  The question for next week’s election is whether Syrizia will keep their supporters (with voters recognizing the limitations that the Greek government faces) or whether Greek voters will look for some other party promising the impossible. Continue Reading...

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Pre-Labor Day Reflect: The State of the Presidential Race: Republican Primary

It is easy to define the Democratic Primary into three or four key questions.  The Republican Primary is an almost infinite number of questions.  However, they ultimately come down into several questions repeated over and  over again — who makes it to Mid-March and when do other candidates drop out.

Right now Trump has a solid lead in the majority of national polls.  While every state has some discretion over their rules,  for the states within the two-week mandatory proportionality window, only Trump is safely over the 20% that states are allowed to set as a threshold for delegates.  Additionally, when you add the other “non-politician” candidates, about 50% of the primary votes appears to be going to “outsider” candidates.

More significantly, there is little or no meaningful gap between a large block of candidates.  There are currently five candidates with between 5-10% of the vote in the Real Clear Politics average of polls.  Right now, it is easier to define who will almost certainly not make it to March 1 (Graham, Jindal, Pataki, and Gilmore) then to guess who will emerge from the pack to save the party from Donald Trump. Continue Reading...

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