Tag Archives: Australia

Australia Election

As more states are considering moving to some form of ranked-choice voting, this weekend is a chance to look at the original home of ranked-choice voting — Australia.  There are certain differences between how ranked choice voting works in Australia and how it is likely to work in the U.S.

The big difference between the two systems is that, in elections in which Australia uses ranked-choice voting, there are only two election contests — each of which has a separate ballot.  Because there is only one race on each ballot.  There is no need for trusting computer programs to accurately read the preferences and allocate them for the House of Representatives.  (The Senate uses single transferrable vote which is more complicated and does require computer assistance.)

Second, Australia does not have party primaries.  Candidates are chosen by party committees (which can sometimes backfire when the national party forces a candidate on the local party). and it is not difficult for small parties to get on the ballot.  In most of the states using ranked choice, they either have ranked choice for party primaries or have a “top four” primary with ranked choice reserved for the general election. Continue Reading...

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Australian Politics 2022 Style (Updated)

International Election season is fast approaching.  Today’s post is on Australia.  As of today, we do not have an exact date for the election in Australia, but we are pretty sure that it will be May 7, May 14, or May 21.  Or to be more exact, we are certain that Australia will have a Senate election on one of those three dates, and are 99% certain that there will be a House election on the same date.

As with other countries, it is not that any one thing about Australia’s elections is unique.  It’s how these features combine that make it unique.  In this case, the issue is the different rules for Senate elections and for House elections.  For Senate elections, there are some similarities between how the U.S. and Australia structure the Senate.  In both countries, each state gets the same number of Australia (twelve per state in Australia with the territories getting two seats each), the terms for Senators elected from the states are six years (with the term for territorial senators in Australia being three years), and terms are staggered.  What this means is that, every three years, Australia has a half-Senate election (six senators per state and the territorial senators).  Unlike the U.S. there is no set date for a Senate election.  Instead, it can be called for any time in the last year of the term (although the winners do not take office until the new term begins).  As the new term begins on July 1, the last possible date to hold the election (and be certain that the results will be finalized) is May 21.  And, at this point in time, even if the election were called the second that this post goes live, the earliest that the election could be held would be May 7 (but if the election is not called by Monday, that date would no longer be available).

On the other hand, while there are some similarities with the U.S. House, the Australian House is more like the Canadian House.  The House is composed of districts (Division in Australia) which are apportioned to the states based on population.  Like the U.S. House, there is a minimum number of Divisions (five) per state.  Currently, the only state which gets extra seats under this rule is Tasmania.  Unlike the U.S., which only reapportions every ten years, in Australia, this reapportionment occurs after every House election.  If a state’s total number of seats changes, or any districts (called Divisions in Australia) are too large or small (i.e. outside the permitted deviation) or seven years has passed since the last time that the lines have been redrawn, a non-partisan committee of civil servants redraws the lines for that State.  Australia’s term length for the House is three years — exactly in the middle between Canada and the U.S.  However, like in Canada, that term is only the maximum term, and the government can call an election early. Continue Reading...

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Foreign Elections — Spring/Summer 2019

The next two months will see several elections in our allies/major democracies. 

This weekend is the election in Spain for both houses of their parliament.  In Spain, the lower house is elected by proportional representation on a provincial basis.  While there is a nominal 3% threshold in each province, the (fifty) provinces range from one seat (in which whomever finishes first gets the seat) to thirty-six seats (in which case the threshold makes a real difference as it would take slightly over 2.7% to win a seat).  In the Senate, most of the provinces get four seats.  While voters directly elect most of the members of the Senate, the catch is that voters have one vote less than the number of seats (i.e. three votes in a province with four seats) which translates into the largest party getting three seats and the second-place party getting one seat.  The regional parliaments also get to appoint the remaining fifty-eight members of the Senate.  For this election, there are five national parties (ranging from two Democratic Socialist parties to a Trumpian nationalist party) and several regional parties. 

There are three things to look at in the results from Spain.  First, is there a natural majority for either of the two main blocs (the two Democratic Socialist parties vs. the two center-right party)?  Second, how does the Trumpian (Vox) party perform?  Third, how do the regional parties (which want increased local autonomy/independence) perform?  From the traditional American foreign policy, we would prefer a result that creates a strong functional government capable of being a partner with us.  Russia (and our current administration) would prefer a divided election result with strong performances by Vox and the regional parties pulling Spain further away from NATO and the European Union and potentially splitting Spain (one of the larger European countries) into several separate countries focused on their grievances with each other rather than building a strong Europe. Continue Reading...

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Australian Election Preview (Updated 7-2-16)

Australian politics has some similarity to the United States.  Seats in their House of Representatives are distributed by the population of the state (with each state guaranteed a certain number of seats).  The states have equal representation in their Senate (twelve senators each rather than two) and the election of senators are usually staggered (half from each state elected every three years).

This year, however, is an unusual election (scheduled for July 2).  The existence of staggered terms plus the voting system for the Senate creates the possibility that the party that controls the House will not control the Senate.  Unlike the U.S. which forces the parties to live with deadlock until the next regularly scheduled election, Australian law contains an out — the “double dissolution” election.  Normally, only the House of Representatives dissolves — either through expiration of the term or through the Prime Minister requesting an early election.  If the dissolution of the House occurs within the window for a half-Senate election (within the last year of a Senate term),  the House and half-Senate election occurs at the same time (but the new Senators do not take office — except for the Senators from the two territories — until the old term expires).

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