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Politics, Polling and Phones

by: DocJess

Wed Apr 08, 2009 at 09:57:00 AM EDT


Yesterday, I cut the cord: called Verizon and had them turn off the land line number I've had for the better part of a quarter century.

I had kept the land line for several reasons: first, in case I need to call 911. I should point out that I've never called 911, and do know that I can do so with my marvel iPhone. The second reason is because of politics and polling. I get calls from political campaigns. I'm not talking about the robo-calls where Bill Clinton asks me to remember to vote, but from primary candidates who actually use the Voter Services list. Actual candidates who are running, and are trying to get their message out to actual voters. It is much cheaper to make calls then to send a mailer, and that matters if you are a candidate who lacks funding. I don't know how they'll find me now, since cell phone numbers are unlisted. 

And then there are the pollsters.  I have never in my life been polled. I have been push-polled twice, but I don't know that that really counts. Still, I clung tenaciously to the hope that someone would call.

But the time came to cut the cord: I'm one of those people who never checks voice mail. The only "people" who call my home phone are normally looking to sell me swampland or get a donation for something. If people who know me need to reach me, they call my cell phone, and if I don't answer, they text me. Or else they email me, which then forwards to my cell phone. 

Still, I'm concerned for the politician who will try to call me. The one that doesn't make the news, but has positions that would interest me as a voter. OK, I'm not that concerned, since I honestly keep up with who is running for every office from Tax Assessor on up. But what about the "regular" voters: you know, the ones who get 100% of their political news from 30 second TV ads? On the front page of yesterday's USA Today, they cited a poll which said that currently 35% of Americans have a cell phone only. 

Most cell phone plans are pay-by-the-minute as opposed to the all-you-can-eat land line programs. Therefore, it seems unlikely that laws would be passed where cell phone numbers could be disseminated out to political types, charities, and spammers. How will the politicians reach out next year, when an even larger percentage of people have given up their land line? When I was speaking with Verizon, the agent told me that people are turning off their land lines daily, mostly because of the economy. If the percentage of cell-phone-only people rises to above 50%, what does that mean for pollsters? I know some of them do poll cell phones, but my guess is that a lot of the calls they make end up unanswered since Caller ID is an option on home phones, and automatic on cell phones. Will next year's numbers be skewed?

DocJess :: Politics, Polling and Phones

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35% for cell-phone only seems way high (0.00 / 0)
Pew from last year says it's 15% (but 30% from age 18-24). CNN in March says its 18%, rising 3% each year. (So consistent with Pew). Do you have a link for that USA Today article?

You need the print version... (0.00 / 0)
It's not an article, it's one of those little things they put in the print version...but not online. Generally, they update their website on a consistent basis, but they put little tidbits (the polls, the brief items) that never get on line that I know of.

I think the number is very high too, and often those little poll numbers seem out of whack to me -- but they put them on all the sections...


[ Parent ]
A guess (0.00 / 0)
You could get the numbers to come out differently depending on how you handle various kinds of living arrangements. Suppose you have two roommates, each of whom has a cell phone, but (unsurprisingly) one landline between them, in only one of their names. Does that count as one of them being "cell phone only"? if you get really silly with that kind of thing (e.g. adult children living at home), you could inflate an 18% household number into a fairly meaningless 35% "person" number.

[ Parent ]
Response (0.00 / 0)
Wasn't sure what to title the subject, so just went with Response. LOL

It probably won't matter if you have a cell phone or a land line. I know last spring during the primary campaign Gallop Poll called my cell phone, but not my land line.

I get just as many unwanted calls on the cell phone as I do on the land line. I just don't answer the ones I don't want to. Caller ID was a wonderful invention.


Caller ID (0.00 / 0)
Yes, Caller ID is the real issue.

A hundred years ago in "polite society" (today's middle class) if you as a stranger wanted to talk to someone, you showed up at their house, gave a calling card to the servant who answered the door, and then decided whether or not to let them in and talk to them. It wouldn't really have been possible to conduct polls in the modern sense then, and it also wouldn't have been easy for politicians to get through to someone who didn't really want to be bothered. They'd need a letter of introduction or something like that to get through.

Then we had a period when the middle class didn't have servants any more, and answered their own phones and their own doors. This led to travelling salesmen, Jehovah's witnesses, canvassing, cold sales calls, and scientific polls.

Now we're going back to the way it was before, where people can isolate themselves from strangers who want to talk to them, and in order to get through you need to use social networks. I'm not sure if that's good or bad, but we've been there before, and it looks like we're going there again.


[ Parent ]
reach out and touch someone (0.00 / 0)
My rep. actually does call periodically, Gordon in middle TN. He lets his fingers do the walking. :)


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