Mon Mar 05, 2012 at 10:25:13 AM EST
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| With 10 states and 416 delegates (no Politico and NY Times... not 437 and no FiveThirtyEight not 422) Super Tuesday could be a game changer. If you look around you'll see that news organizations are all over the map on how many delegates are available tomorrow. I've seen 419, 422 and 437. Here's what they're doing and why they're wrong: 419 delegates: Uses 416 delegates and superdelegates for only 6 states instead of 7
422 delegates: Uses 416 delegates and superdelegates for only 5 states instead of 7
437 delegates: Disregards the fact that superdelegates will not be decided tomorrow. From our Ultimate Republican Nomination Info Chart: | | Total
Delegates
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| | Delegates | Ballot bound to
| Superdelegates
| Delegate Allocation
| | Alaska | 27 | | | | 24 Bound | 2nd. After that unbound
if candidate is last | 3 | Proportional | | Georgia | 76 | | | | 76 Bound | 2nd
| 0 | >50% in district WTA
State is Proportional | | Idaho | 32 | | | | 32 Bound | 1st
| 0 | WTA if >50% | | Massachusetts | 41 | | | | 38 Bound | 1st
| 3 R-2 | Proportional | | North Dakota | 28 | | | | 25 Unbound | NA
| 3 | | | Ohio | 66 | | | | 63 Bound | | 3 | WTA | | Oklahoma | 43 | | | | 40 Bound | All
| 3 | Proportional | | Tennessee | 58 | | | | 55 Bound | 2nd
| 3 | WTA | | Vermont | 17 | | | | 17 Bound | 1st
| 0 | WTA if >50% | | Virginia | 49 | | | | 46 Bound | 1st
| 3 | District is WTA
State is WTA if >50%
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Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are the only candidates on the ballot in both Virginia and Massachusetts. |
| Oreo :: A Look at Super Tuesday
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