Category Archives: Politics

Tomorrow is General election day: 03.11.2015

There are some important marquee races going on for an off year, most importantly, the Kentucky Gubernatorial:

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Polling wrap-up: 15-31.10.2015

This round-up repeats and enhances the data from the special one-week round up that I did HERE. So, let’s look at the October week 3-4 numbers together:

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Special polling round up: 15-23.10.2015

Instead of the usual two-week window for round-ups that I post in many places, due to the interesting nature of the last 11 days or so, I decided to put out a one week round-up, the main reason being: Hillary Clinton.

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Results of last night’s election in Canada

The results of last night’s election in Canada are very fascinating to see. The “Liberals” won, and they won big. But be careful what the term “Liberal” means from country to country. Many Canadians consider the “Liberals” to be the more Centrist party, and the NDP to be the hard-Left party in that land. Results after the break!

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Today is Canada’s 42nd General Federal (General) Election and…

…I did a write-up on some aspects of today’s parliamentary elections up to the North of the USA…

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Polling data links – 16-31 October, 2015

I’ve already started collecting data in the five categories I prefer. You can watch the data storage area fill up at these two weeks progress.

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The 2015 Kentucky Gubernatorial – polling data

The race for the Governor’s Mansion (and also for Lt. Governor, AG, etc) is coming up on November 3rd.

Here is the latest polling data:

Continue Reading...

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Polling round-up, 01-15 October, 2015

There was a TON of polling in the first half of October 2015 in all five major categories that I like to watch. Here are all the goodies:

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Strategic Voting-U.S. and Abroad

In most of the United States, the general election (at every level) is mostly a two-party race.  In 2014, there were thirty-four races in which the winning candidate got less than 50%.  In only two of these races did the winning candidate get beneath 45%.  In only 11 of these races did the loser get below 45%.    In ten of these races, it is probable that the minor part candidates may have altered the winner of the race.  Given the rareness of such races, strategic voting is normally not viewed as  a significant issue in the general election in the U.S., but it is a significant issue in the primary and in elections in other countries.

Starting with other countries, the two countries with the most similar election system to the U.S. are the United Kingdom and Canada.  Both use a first-past-the-post system for parliamentary elections, just like most states use for Congressional and Senate elections.  The difference is that — unlike the U.S. — Canada and the U.K. have, at least, three major parties and some parties with regional strength.

In the last U.K. election, the Conservatives won 330 seats out of 650 seats to get a majority.  Out of the 650 seats, the winning candidate got less than 45% in 68 seats, and failed to get a majority in 97 seats.  The Conservatives won 40 of those seats. Continue Reading...

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Polling round-up, 01-15 October, 2015 (1st half of October, 2015)

So, the polling round-up for the second half of September 2015 is now completed and the books have been closed on this two-week window, mostly concerning 2016. Here the links to my politics blog for the next two weeks of polling from 01-15.10.2015:

Here are the links to my politics blog for the next set of polling that should be coming in over these next two weeks:

Statistikhengst’s ELECTORAL POLITICS – 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: DEM Nomination Continue Reading...

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