Monthly Archives: March 2022

Chicago and Las Vegas likely bidders for 2024 Dem Convention

Finally getting some activity on the Democratic side:

Democrats are eyeing Chicago as a city of interest to host the party’s 2024 convention and the mayor, the governor and a key U.S. senator are coordinating on a plan to make it happen, the firm helping with a potential bid confirmed to NBC News on Wednesday.

While the discussions are early and informal, some national Democrats already see the Midwestern city as an appealing contender, in part for its heartland geography — touching key swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan — but also because of the comfort that would come with holding a marquee political event in a tried-and-true blue state, a source who has taken part in early discussions with national Democrats said. Continue Reading...

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Sentencing — What you need to know to discuss the GOP’s fraudulent charges against Judge Jackson

As always, the Party of GnOP has found multiple issues to attack a minority candidate that are based on a gross distortion of realities.  The big charge has to do with how Judge Jackson has been imposing sentences for child pornography.  To understand the allegations, you first need to know the basics.

When Congress or state legislators pass a criminal statute, they establish a penalty for a violation.  With limited exceptions, most statutes do not establish a precise penalty.  Instead, they create a range of punishment.  The concept behind having a range of punishment is to permit individualized punishment.  However, in creating a range, the legislature is attempting to define the penalties that are appropriate for most cases.  Thus, for example, stealing a car might have a penalty of up to seven years.  That’s not a decision that seven years is the appropriate penalty for the offense.  Rather, it’s a decision that a case that merits more than seven years will be so rare that it makes sense to take such a long sentence off the table.  On the other hand, murder might have a range of ten years to life.  Again, that’s not a decision that ten years is the appropriate penalty in any specifc case, but that the cases in which a sentence of lower than ten years will be so rare that it makes sense to take penalties less than ten years off the table.  For some statutes, often referred to as mandatory minimums although that is inaccurate as all offenses have statutory minimums, the law precludes a court from considering probation as an alternative to the authorized sentences.

In addition to the statutes defining range of punishment, most jurisdictions have a set of statutes defining what courts should consider in imposing sentences.  For federal courts, the law requires the court to consider four factors, but those factors are what most scholars have discussed for decades as the four considerations that are appropriate in sentencing.  The first factor is retribution — i.e. what is an appropriate penalty for the conduct.   The second factor is deterrence — creating a disincentive for commission of a crime.  This factor is both individual (what will teach this offender a lesson about the consequences if he reoffends) and collective (what punishment will scare othe potential offenders).  The third factor is incapacitation — what is needed to prevent this offender from reoffending.  The final factor is rehabilitation.   The law further requires the penalty to be no greater than is needed to satisfy those four concerns. Continue Reading...

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GOP narrows 2024 convention choices to Milwaukee and Nashville

And then there were two:

Last week, the RNC’s site selection committee voted to eliminate Salt Lake City from contention as host city of the 2024 Republican National Convention. (Sources tell Playbook that SLC will, however, be considered for 2028.)

That leaves two cities left for 2024: Milwaukee and Nashville. We’re told that RNC Chair RONNA MCDANIEL was in Milwaukee on Wednesday to meet with the mayor and members of the host committee. Representatives of both cities will be in Washington next week to make their final pitches to the RNC’s site selection committee. Continue Reading...

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Sanctions and the War in the Ukraine

Later this year (probably in May), Australia will be holding elections for its parliament.  Similary, France will be holding its presidential elections in May and June.  Meanwhile, West Virginia has a case that the Supreme Court heard this week challenging the EPA over potential power plant regulations.   What do these two events have to do with the war in the Ukraine — everything.

The Russian-sympathizing Party of Treason want to blame the current Administration for the Russian attack on the Ukraine because we did not have a clear set of sanctions outlined prior to the invasion to deter the invasion.  Aside from the fact that it is unclear that anything would have deterred the brutal dictator who currently governs Russia, this framing of the situation relies on the fact that a large number of Americans have no real sense of how politics or international relations work which brings us back to our starting point.

Even in the U.S. where we are supposedly one country with one national interest, there are still local interests.  And so, state and local officials who face an entirely different set of voters than the national leaders find that the interests of their state and city are in opposition to what may be best for the nation as a whole.  If that is true for different regions in the same nation, it is even more true for different nations.  Potential sanctions that are relatively painless for the U.S. might be extremely painful for other countries and vice versa.  And the governments in our allies have to face their voters too.   If they want to be in office next year, they have to consider what the voters in their countries want.  Agreing to a set of sanctions that merely protects the U.S. economy and not their own is not a viable option. Continue Reading...

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