Monthly Archives: April 2016

Catching Up

I haven’t posted in several weeks as I ended up getting actual Influenza A (and yes, I took the vaccine). I’m not saying it was rough, but I didn’t even care that there were primaries and caucuses because I couldn’t raise my head. For those of you who know me personally, you’ll understand how low I was when I mention that for more than two weeks, I didn’t have even a sip of coffee.

There is so much to catch up on. First, Bernie is on a roll, and I have received a lot of emails and texts asking whether or not he can actually get the nomination. The answer is a full maybe. First off, those pledged delegates from the caucus states can move, as they did last Saturday as the process moves from election day to the county, district and state conventions. The split in Nevada has so far moved from 20 – 15 Clinton to 18 – 17 Clinton, but there are 8 additional delegates to allocate and the State convention in May. Maine is another state that could reallocate delegates. Will it be enough? Amazingly, it will depend on places like New York, New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania and California which are normally non-starters in the primary race.

While everyone (including DCW) looks at the full delegate total, including Super Delegates, my math is a little different. Continue Reading...

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Deadline for convention internships is Friday

The 2016 Democratic Convention in Philadelphia is offering internships, but the application deadline is Friday:

The Democratic National Convention Committee is looking for enthusiastic, politically-minded future leaders for the 2016 Internship Program. This program is designed to give highly-motivated interns an inside look at how the 2016 Democratic National Convention is put together. Interns will have the opportunity to work side-by-side with DNCC leadership and staff in planning the Convention.

  Continue Reading...

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Wisconsin primary results

Polls close at 9 PM EDT, with 86 delegates up for grabs for the Democrats, and 42 winner-take-most delegates available for the GOP.  Sanders and Cruz have small leads in the polls, but a small win by Cruz could lead to a big delegate haul. Not so for Sanders.

Update 9:30: Cruz and Sanders win. Early delegate estimates: Cruz/Trump 36/6.  Sanders/Clinton: 48/38

The tables below have been updated with all results from other states over the last two weeks. Continue Reading...

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Redistricting & Equal Protection

Today, before taking the next to last recess of the term, the Supreme Court handed down its opinion in Evanwel vs. Abbott.  This case involved an attempt by some Texas Republicans to challenge the use of total population in redistricting.  Instead, the petitioners wanted the Supreme Court to hold that the Equal Protection Clause required states to use some measure of voting population (a measure that would presumably exclude children, non-citizens, and those ineligible to vote for some other reason).

All eight justices rejected this attempt to change the law, but the three opinions in this case were vastly different.  Six justices — in an opinion written by Justice Ginsburg — held that total population was a permissible measure while suggesting that other measures were, at the very least, questionable.  Justice Alito (joined in part by Justice Thomas) while acknowledging that a state could choose to use total population questioned any suggestion that total population was a legally preferred measurement.  Finally, Justice Thomas (writing only for himself) questioned the last fifty years of case law holding that courts had any right to require states to draw districts in roughly equal size in the absence of evidence of discriminatory intent.

The positive side from this opinion is that the attempt of Texas Republicans to exclude large segments of the minority community from counting in the drawing of district lines failed.  The negative side is that there were not five justices to say that the alternative measures proposed by Republicans were not constitutionally permissible.  It is almost certain that some Republicans around the country will attempt to amend state laws to allow them to use these alternative measures.  Hopefully, by that time, we will have a majority on the Supreme Court willing to enforce all of the provisions of the Voting Rights Act and to look behind this facially race-neutral proposal to see the actual discriminatory intent.

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Some Philly cab drivers threaten boycott during convention

The battle between legacy cab companies and Uber/Lyft is playing out in Philadelphia, with some Uber drivers siding with the legacy cab companies:

And to be clear, not all parties agree on a boycott: Continue Reading...

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The Rules of the Convention: Part Three — Organization of the Convention and Nomination Process

In July, the individuals elected as delegates to their party’s conventions will show up in Cleveland and Philadelphia to select the nominees of their party.  As noted in Part One, each party has temporary rules:  the Republican rules contained in the “Rules of the Republican Party” and the Democratic  Rules contained in the “Call for the Convention.”  These temporary rules do include several committees that will meet before the convention to work on some of the details of the convention, including a rules committee for drafting the permanent rules.

The rules for both parties have some similarities.  There are two big differences, however.  The first involves the composition of the convention committees.  The second involves the process for voting on a nominee.

Continue Reading...

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