Monthly Archives: July 2020

GOP Jacksonville money woes continue

Raising money for a last-minute convention that may not happen is not so easy:

Republicans are scrambling to raise millions of dollars after President Donald Trump moved most of the event from Charlotte. They say they’ve received several millions in commitments toward a fundraising goal of $20 to $25 million, but declined to be more specific.

Convention fundraising typically occurs over a span of two years. But after Trump clashed with North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper over his refusal to allow a full-fledged convention, Republicans launched a new multi-million-dollar drive in order to pull off a separate event in a different state. Continue Reading...

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Supreme Court — Trump’s Position Loses; Trump wins

I will have further details on what the Supreme Court held about Trump’s taxes when I have a chance to digest everything from yesterday.  But in practical terms, there are two ways to view the decision.

On the one hand, Trump’s current arguments were soundly rejected by a 7-2 vote in both cases.  The president is not above the law and has to respond to proper subpoenas (with some caveats about the needs of courts to consider the burden on the presidency and the necessity of the subpoena).

On the other hand, Trump’s tax returns are still secret for the next several months.  In all of the cases, as I feared, the Supreme Court sent the case back to the lower courts to take another look at the motions to quash in light of the Supreme Court’s instructions. Continue Reading...

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GOP now looking at outdoor Jacksonville convention

An outdoor convention. In Florida. In the summer time. OK:

The Republican convention in Jacksonville, Fla., next month could be moved to an outdoor stadium as cases of the novel coronavirus in the state increase, according to several officials with knowledge of the plans.

While no decision has been made, Republican officials are studying two outdoor professional sports stadiums near the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena where the convention is currently slated to be held. They are also looking more broadly into the logistics of pulling off an outdoor convention, according to two Republicans involved in the planning. Continue Reading...

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Religious Freedom (for some) — Supreme Court Overtime Edition 2

The big news out of the Supreme Court today is that Thursday is the last opinion day of the court.  Under normal practice, the justices would hold a public session in their courtroom to announce the opinions.  Opinions would be announced in reverse order of seniority (with some exceptions for companion cases) with the justice who wrote the opinion reading a brief summary of the opinion and (sometimes) a dissenting justice reading a statement as well (but such a statement is a rare event).  With the Supreme Court not being open to the public (and no public information office handing out copies to reporters), the opinions are merely being posted on-line but at roughly the same pace (one every ten minutes) as would be true if the Supreme Court was actually proceeding as normal with the opinions being released in the courtroom.  As we have already seen this term, sometimes the Supreme Court’s website  is not quite up to the traffic associated with a major opinion.  But, if you wish to go to www.supremecourt.gov at 10am EDT and repeatedly refresh, you can see the opinions as they are being released.   As discussed further below, my expectation is that the Chief Justice will have one of the two (or maybe both) of the Trump tax cases.  If that is the case, I would expect the Oklahoma opinion to be released at 10 (regardless of who has the opinion) followed by two Trump tax cases at 10:10 and 10:20., but there is a chance of one of the two Trump tax cases at 10:00 followed by the Oklahoma case at 10:10 and the Chief Justices opinion at 10:20.  It all depends on how closely connected the holding in the two Trump tax cases are.

Today, the Supreme Court released the two remaining “religion” cases.  The first case, written by Justice Alito, concerned the “ministerial exception” as it applies to school teachers.  The ministerial exception has its roots in the Free Exercise Clause.  Basically, under the Free Exercise Clause, the government has no power over the religious leaders of a religious organization.  Courts only play a limited role in deciding intra-faith disputes and only when the issue to be resolved is a secular matter like which group of opposing claimants to leadership actually has title to the assets of a religious organization (including the right to use the name).  Today’s case, however, takes the exception to (and arguably past) the breaking point.  The issue is whether teachers at a parochial school are covered by the ministerial exception.  On the one hand, teachers at a parochial school — especially an elementary school where one teacher handles all subject matters — do teach some religious materials and are expected to comply with a code of conduct.  On the other hand, many parochial schools — while having a preference that teachers belong to the same sect that runs the school — do not expressly mandate that teachers are members of the religious group running the school.  The majority — in a 7-2 decision — essentially held that all teachers in religious schools are minister based solely on the school’s assertion that it views them as ministers and that the decision to fire was based on non-religious grounds.  As the purpose of the ministerial exception is to avoid courts from having to decide whether a particular minister is sufficiently “orthodox,” this broadening of the exception is significantly divorced from the purpose behind the exception.   In this consolidated case, the two teachers claimed that they were fired based on age (violating the law against discriminating based on age) and medical condition (breast cancer, violating the laws governing medical leave).  The schools — while asserting an absolute bar to proceeding on the merits due to the ministerial exception — asserted that they were fired because they were not good teachers.  In short, religious issues had nothing to do with the case, and a court could have decided which secular reason was the main motivating factor in the decision to fire these two teachers.

The other case involved the contraception mandate.  Amazingly, the majority opinion by Justice Thomas only made a passing reference to the Religious Freedom Restoration Act.  Instead, the gist of the opinion was whether the Affordable Care Act gave the government discretion to create a religious exemption to the contraception mandate.  Technically, the majority opinion does not resolve the final issue of whether the current regulation is valid.  Instead, it merely held that the Affordable Care Act granted the government the discretion to create an exception for religious groups (and private companies) with moral objections to the mandates and that the government complied with the procedural requirements of the Administrative Procedure Act.   The case is sent back to the lower court to decide if the regulation was adequately supported by the administrative record.  (Which means that the future of the contraceptive mandate and this religious exemption depends on the results of the election.) Continue Reading...

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Political Robocalls and Faithless Electors — Supreme Court Overtime Edition 1 (UPDATED — 7/8)

On Monday, the Supreme Court went into what is essentially overtime.  We are now the latest for issuing opinions since 1974 (the year of Watergate) when the last opinion from the regular term was issued the day after the Supreme Court heard the Watergate arguments.  It is unlikely that we will reach that July 25 date this year, but anything is possible.  (Given that the Watergate opinion is a key precedent on the still pending Trump Organization subpoena cases, the poetic irony has to be appreciated.)  We do have a second opinion day this week scheduled for Wednesday; so potentially Wednesday could be the last day or there could still be additional opinion days to come.  (With five cases still outstanding, getting all five on Wednesday would be somewhat surprising given the pace of opinions so far this term, but anything is possible, but there already has been one five-opinion day this term.)

Monday’s two opinions both concerned the process of elections.  On the one hand, the Barr case was brought by the lobbying group for political consultants challenging the barriers that the federal robocall statute places to even more repetitive phone calls from campaigns.  On the other hand, the Chiafalo case (and the companion case from Colorado) involves the very rules governing the conduct of the electors chosen by the various states to actually cast the “real” votes in the presidential election.

In the long run, Barr may be the more important of the two.  The federal robocall statute dates back to the early 90s (and, yes, it has been close to an utter failure).  In 2015, Congress amended the statute to pass an exception allowing the federal government to have people make robocalls seeking to collect debt owed to the government.  Some political consultants and other groups saw this amendment as an opening to raise a First Amendment complaint against the robocall statute.  The bottom line of this decision is they won the battle, but lost the war. Continue Reading...

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Jacksonville convention causing headaches for GOP

I mean, none of this could be predicted, right?  First, the Times goes deep on the money problem:

The abrupt uprooting of the Republican National Convention from Charlotte to Jacksonville has created a tangled financial predicament for party officials as they effectively try to pay for two big events instead of one.

Tens of millions of dollars have already been spent in a city that will now host little more than a G.O.P. business meeting, and donors are wary of opening their wallets again to bankroll a Jacksonville gathering thrown into uncertainty by a surge in coronavirus cases. Continue Reading...

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Supreme Court — Progressive Pyrrhic Victories and Conservative Triumphs

This week the Supreme Court issued five opinions.  Putting aside a case about when [generic term].com can be trademarked, the other four cases represent two big wins for conservatives and two narrow wins for progressives in which the reasoning adopted by the controlling vote — in both cases, the Chief Justice — signals bad news for progressives in future cases.

But first, there are some housekeeping details.  This week’s opinion finished the outstanding cases from January and February.  The only cases left are from May, but we still have eight of the ten cases left.  As a result, it is practically wide open as for as which justice has which case.  Justice Gorsuch and Justice Ginsburg have both authored six opinions for the Court this year (implying that they are probably done, but Justice Gorsuch still has an outside chance at picking up one of the May cases).  Justice Thomas has only authored four opinions for the Court, so he may get two May opinions.  Everybody else appears to be due for one May opinion.

This past week, the Supreme Court issued opinions on the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau, abortion, tax credits for religious schools, and conditions on aid to foreign non-governmental organizations.  In all of these cases, the controlling opinion established rules that conservatives will love, even if they hate the result in the individual case. Continue Reading...

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Trump, Mueller, and the Supreme Court

Earlier today, the Supreme Court issued an order list covering several cases.  For political junkies, the big news from the list concerned Department of [Obstructing] Justice vs. House Committee on the Judiciary.  The issue in this case is whether the House can get access to the grand jury proceedings from the Mueller investigation.  Technically, the issue is whether the House’s investigation of whether Trump committed potential impeachable offenses is a “judicial proceeding” for the purposes of the Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure’s exception to the general rule of grand jury secrecy.

The big impact of today’s order is that it extends the hold on the release of those proceedings.  And, given the other cases already on the docket for the Fall, it is likely that the Supreme Court will not hear arguments on this matter until December.  In short, this decision means that those records will not become public until after the election.

Now how this reflects on the Supreme Court depends upon what happens in the election.  If Trump loses, arguably, the case would be moot as any opinion would not come until after Trump leaves office and could no longer be impeached.  It is possible that the Supreme Court could reach this issue on the theory that, given the time that it takes for the grand jury to investigate followed by the time that it takes for impeachment, the issue is capable of recurring yet escaping review (as the delay all but guarantees that any president’s term will expire before any future case with similar issues could be resolved).  This exception to mootness probably better applies to the claim that the House and Senate are no longer conducting impeachment proceedings. Continue Reading...

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