Tag Archives: Nancy Pelosi

The Fall Campaign

Traditionally, Labor Day Weekend was seen as the start of the Fall campaign (at least by the media).  If that was ever true, it no longer is.  With cable and websites like Facebook and Youtube, there are a lot of relatively inexpensive way to get advertisements out during July and August.  If a campaign waits unti September to begin its ad campaign, the other side has already defined the race.

But, by this point in the cycle, we are down to the last handful of primaries, and the national committees and big PACS are already looking to decide where they are going to be spending the big bucks in late September and early October.  (As the change in the mechanism for advertising has obliterated Labor Day as the start of the fall campaign, the change in voting habits (with a significant percentage casting early votes or mail-in ballots) has also altered when the big final push begins.  While, in a close race, last minute news and ads can make a difference, it is just as important to get as many votes locked in as early as possible so that the last-minute spending can be focused on a tiny number of votes.

But that is the inside baseball stuff of campaigns.  The purpose of this post is to set the stage for the next eight weeks.  For the past two years, Democrats have had the frustration of a very narrow margin in the House of Representatives and a dead-even Senate.  Because Nancy Pelosi may be one of the all-time great Speakers, Democrats have been mostly able to pass things in the House.  The Senate, however, has been very, very difficult.  The filibuster rules has limited the Democrats to passing anything significant via the reconciliation process.  Even the reconciliation process requires keeping the entire Democratic caucus together which has proven difficult as a single member can insist on changes to any proposal.  And the  lack of a majority has also prevented any changes to the filibuster rule (again due to the ability a single Democrat to veto any proposed change). Continue Reading...

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The Need for a Leadership Shuffle

On Tuesday, the House Democratic Caucus-elect will meet to select its leaders for the upcoming Congress.  Both before and since the election, there has been discussion about whether the caucus should pick Nancy Pelosi as its candidate for Speaker of the House.  It is hard to think of a credible reason for removing a leader who just had a tremendous victory other than the Democrat’s usual flaw of forming a circular firing squad.  While Representative Pelosi — like most leaders of both parties — currently has a negative favorability rating, that goes along with the job and whomever would replace her would soon have similar numbers.

What is disheartening about this discussion is the failure to look at what does need to change — the rest of the leadership team.  One of the reasons for this lack of discussion is how difficult it is to replace any of them.  The current team represents a decent cross-section of the senior Democrats in the House.  That will make it difficult to challenge any one of the leaders.  But the problem is how long these individuals have been in the leadership.   Our senior leadership is getting too senior, and it needs to renew and revitalize.

Start with likely majority leader Stenny Hoyer, Representative from Maryland.  Representative Hoyer will turn 80 in the next Congress.  He has been in Congress for thirty-seven years.  He became Chair of the Democratic Conference (technically the number four position when Democrats are in the majority and the number three position when Democrats are in the minority) in 1989 and served in that position until 1994.  In 2002, when Nancy Pelosi became minority leader, Representative Hoyer (who had earlier that year lost the race for minority whip to Representative Pelosi) became the new minority whip and has been the number two for the last sixteen years.  It is not unusual in most democracies for the loser in a leadership battle to become the new deputy.  What is unusual is for that person to keep that position for sixteen years. Continue Reading...

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